Moodix market editorial content – weekly newsletters, quick analysis of unexpected events, head-ups before highly anticipated events – analytical content by moodix team.
Market sentiment: RiskOn fading Recap of the past week: Last week, markets were still digesting the substantial gains from the prior "Trump trade" rally as they awaited the release of U.S. CPI. While the CPI data wasn’t outright negative, a wave of Fed member comments...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 2 days Recap of the past week: The most pivotal week of the year, the U.S. elections, has concluded. As expected, Donald Trump's victory propelled markets aggressively to new all-time highs. The Fed contributed by lowering rates by the...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 34 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by disappointment in ASML's earnings, which affected the entire chip sector. The sector recovered only after TSMC delivered outstanding results. Netflix and several financial sector...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 13 days Recap of the past week: The past week had one central theme: the monetary easing in China. This move was truly unexpected. While we’ve mentioned several times that some action from the PBoC was on the horizon, we didn’t anticipate...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 6 days Recap of the past week: The past week was dominated by anticipation for the first rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The Fed did not disappoint and performed a cut. However, the unexpected element was the cut being 50 bps, which came...
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 11 days Recap of the past week: The past week brought a noticeable improvement in market sentiment. Investors were bracing for another CPI decline, which would have fueled negative sentiment and the notion that the market was heading...
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 4 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by anticipation of new U.S. labor market data. Friday’s NFP results were not disastrous, but revisions, JOLTS, and ADP combined painted a slightly negative picture, confirming a...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 17 days Recap of the past week: The past week was defined by anticipation for Nvidia's earnings report. While the results were excellent, they fell short of igniting a more robust rally in the markets. As a result, trading remained within a...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 12 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by significant events and encouraging numbers, with market sentiment indicator ultimately ending on a positive note. The highlight was Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 5 days Recap of the past week: The past week was all about anticipation, with markets awaiting fresh CPI data and weekly US labor market readings. The CPI results were spot on, showing only a slight decline—avoiding recession fears while not...
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 22 days Recap of the past week: This past week was one hell of a ride, market sentiment indicator remained well in negative territory. Monday saw massive declines spurred by NFP data, concerns over a looming recession, and BoJ’s policies....
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 15 days Recap of the past week: The past week witnessed even deeper decline in market sentiment indicator. The S&P 500 shed 5% last week and is now approximately 7% off its all-time high (futures). The earnings results from Google two...
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 8 days Recap of the past week: The past week witnessed a further decline in market sentiment indicator . The primary drivers of this downturn were the disappointing tech earnings, particularly Google's. The main issues were rising costs and...
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 1 day Recap of the past week: The past week saw the SP500 register slight losses and the market sentiment indicator moved to Neutral zone. Right from the start, the week carried a notably negative tone. It began with disappointing macro...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 38 days Recap of the past week: The past week was all about anticipation for the new CPI figures. They turned out well. Actually, very well. However, it seemed the market was spooked by the inflation trend, leading to a negative turn. From...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 31 days Recap of the past week: Last week, influenced by US holidays and the start of the vacation season, market sentiment indicator continued on the wave of positive RiskOn sentiment, with the S&P 500 adding +1.5%. The market was...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 24 days Recap of the past week: The past week was primarily about waiting for Friday's data releases. We received the PCE index (slight decline as expected), the Michigan Sentiment Index, and the Chicago PMI. The SP500 index ended almost...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 17 days Recap of the past week: The past week did not bring any major updates with almost empty macro calendar. Central banks provided their updates on interest rates. The only surprise was perhaps Bank of England's hawkish stance. With...
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 10 days Recap of the past week: The markets had been anticipating the update on the US CPI all the past week. In the end, it turned out very well, and we received very encouraging numbers. A considerable amount of euphoria hit the market....
Market sentiment: Neutral 8 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by ECB rates and the US labor market. The ECB did not surprise and lowered rates by 0.25% as expected. The market was slightly surprised by the reduction in holdings of securities under...