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Persistent uncertainty and recession fears. Negative sentiment continues to pressure the markets. (August 5 to August 9)
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 15 days Recap of the past week: The past week witnessed even deeper decline in market sentiment indicator. The S&P 500 shed 5% last week and is now approximately 7% off its all-time high (futures). The earnings results from Google two...
Big Tech earnings, macroeconomic data, and Fed decisions may cause significant market volatility (July 29 to August 2)
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 8 days Recap of the past week: The past week witnessed a further decline in market sentiment indicator . The primary drivers of this downturn were the disappointing tech earnings, particularly Google's. The main issues were rising costs and...
End of RiskOn Wave: Market Pressure Expected Amidst Earnings Season and Macroeconomic Concerns (July 22 to July 26)
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 1 day Recap of the past week: The past week saw the SP500 register slight losses and the market sentiment indicator moved to Neutral zone. Right from the start, the week carried a notably negative tone. It began with disappointing macro...
Trump Assassination Attempt, Key Economic Data, Tech and Bank Earnings, ECB Decision, AI and Netflix in Focus (July 15 to July 19)
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 38 days Recap of the past week: The past week was all about anticipation for the new CPI figures. They turned out well. Actually, very well. However, it seemed the market was spooked by the inflation trend, leading to a negative turn. From...
Negative Sentiment Begins: Will Apple or the Presidential Debate Fuel It? (September 9 to September 13)
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 4 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by anticipation of new U.S. labor market data. Friday’s NFP results were not disastrous, but revisions, JOLTS, and ADP combined painted a slightly negative picture, confirming a gradual deterioration in job conditions. Markets are increasingly convinced that at...
Sentiment update for May 2, 2024
It has been about 22 days since the long RiskOn market sentiment break. The market has switched to negative RiskOff sentiment that has been lacking balls (weak negative sentiment) since it started. We can conclude that the market has been pretty much digesting further...
Event of the week: FOMC meeting
Today we'll be witnessing the long-awaited and highly anticipated FOMC meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell faces a precarious balancing act in managing dovish and hawkish pressures. As we say at moodix, he must "satisfy the dove with the hawk at his neck". If you follow...
Quick market overview (April 29 to May 3) – state: Neutral
Market sentiment: Neutral 1 day Recap of the past week: Recap of the past week: We've seen a week of BIG TECH results and the first estimate of US GDP Q1 with mixed market reactions. META "disappointed", while Google and Microsoft pleased. US GDP disappointed, but the...
📢 Outlook for April 25, 2024
The negative market sentiment RiskOff has been in place for 15 days. Even the market's attempts to break out of the first half of the week, when market reactions in the style of "goodnewsisbadnews" (US PMIs and other macro data) took care of the slight improvement,...
Sentiment development for the week of April 22 to April 26
As we look at the current developments in market sentiment, we all ask ourselves: Is the correction over? Today's PMI developments in the largest economies have given us a glimpse into the sentiments of purchasing managers. This view did not present a very pretty...
Quick market overview (April 22 to April 26) – state: RiskOff
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 11 days Recap of the past week: The ending week was full of geopolitics, marked mainly with the anticipation of Israel's retaliation for last Sunday's massive attack. That came on Thursday and was more of a demonstration of how deeply into...
Quick market overview (April 15 to April 19) – state: RiskOff
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 3 days Recap of the past week: The past and very important week brought quite a big disappointment from the US CPI numbers. Unfortunately, inflation continued its upward trend, increasing by 0.1% MoM and YoY to 3.5% from 3.2%. The data was...
Quick Market Overview (April 8 To April 12) – State: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn 42 days Recap of the past week: We´ve seen a week marked by crucial US labor market data and comments from Federal Reserve bankers. The labor market once again surprised with its strength, raising new questions about how the Fed will react to...
Quick Market Overview (April 1 To April 5) – State: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 35 days Recap of the past week: As expected, the Easter week did not bring major changes to the market. It is worth mentioning the next US GDP recalculation, which brought another improvement and we can already look forward to the first...