Newsroom
RiskOn Sentiment Persists: Awaiting Earnings Reports and PMI Data (October 21 to October 25)
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 34 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by disappointment in ASML's earnings, which affected the entire chip sector. The sector recovered only after TSMC delivered outstanding results. Netflix and several financial sector...
Market Sentiment Stalls as Focus Shifts to NFP Release (September 30 to October 4) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 13 days Recap of the past week: The past week had one central theme: the monetary easing in China. This move was truly unexpected. While we’ve mentioned several times that some action from the PBoC was on the horizon, we didn’t anticipate...
Positive RiskOn Sentiment Amid Fed Cut and Rising Risks in Lebanon (September 23 to September 27)
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 6 days Recap of the past week: The past week was dominated by anticipation for the first rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The Fed did not disappoint and performed a cut. However, the unexpected element was the cut being 50 bps, which came...
Can the Fed Alleviate Persistent Uncertainties and Risks in the Market? (September 16 to September 20)
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 11 days Recap of the past week: The past week brought a noticeable improvement in market sentiment. Investors were bracing for another CPI decline, which would have fueled negative sentiment and the notion that the market was heading...
Strong RiskOn Sentiment, Key Fed Decisions and PCE Index Risks Ahead (December 16 to December 20) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn Recap of the past week: The past week provided a mixed picture of inflation developments in the U.S. The market first received the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which rose by 0.3% month-on-month, slightly above the anticipated 0.2%. However, the Producer Price Index (PPI) painted a far more concerning picture. It...
Quick market overview (June 24 to June 28) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 17 days Recap of the past week: The past week did not bring any major updates with almost empty macro calendar. Central banks provided their updates on interest rates. The only surprise was perhaps Bank of England's hawkish stance. With...
Quick market overview (June 17 to June 21) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 10 days Recap of the past week: The markets had been anticipating the update on the US CPI all the past week. In the end, it turned out very well, and we received very encouraging numbers. A considerable amount of euphoria hit the market....
Quick market overview (June 10 to June 14) – state: Neutral
Market sentiment: Neutral 8 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by ECB rates and the US labor market. The ECB did not surprise and lowered rates by 0.25% as expected. The market was slightly surprised by the reduction in holdings of securities under...
Quick market overview (June 3 to June 7) – state: Neutral
Market sentiment: Neutral 2 days Recap of the past week: Last week, market participants were eagerly awaiting the release of the PCE index on Friday, that has a potential to shift market sentiment indicator. Thursday's quarterly PCE data suggested that a significant...
Outlook for May 31, 2024
We are approaching the key macro of the week - the month-on-month US PCE price index - an indicator that the Fed says is the main measure of inflation in the US economy. Market sentiment indicator state RiskOn from last week's run has moved into Neutral territory and...
Quick market overview (May 27 to May 31) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 27 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by a plethora of speeches from central bankers, the results from nVidia, and the FOMC meeting minutes - important market topic lately. The central bankers and FOMC leaned towards a...
Quick market overview (May 20 to May 24) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: Neutral - 1 days Recap of the past week: This past week was all about waiting for the new U.S. CPI numbers. Before we received the CPI data, the market first encountered new PPI figures, which were quite disappointing. However, Jerome Powell came to...
Outlook for May 15, 2024
Long awaited US CPI day is here and we brace ourselves for the time 14:30 CET / 8:30 AM EST. The market digested yesterday's rebounced PPI readings with ease and seems to be in good mood for today's figures, market sentiment indicator is still in slightly positive...
Quick market overview (May 13 to May 17) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 10 days Recap of the past week: The past week didn’t offer much excitement, yet despite low volatility, the S&P 500 managed a 2% gain, largely attributed to a buoyant RiskOn market sentiment. The main highlight was the weekly overview of...