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Positive RiskOn Sentiment Amid Fed Cut and Rising Risks in Lebanon (September 23 to September 27)
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 6 days Recap of the past week: The past week was dominated by anticipation for the first rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The Fed did not disappoint and performed a cut. However, the unexpected element was the cut being 50 bps, which came...
Can the Fed Alleviate Persistent Uncertainties and Risks in the Market? (September 16 to September 20)
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 11 days Recap of the past week: The past week brought a noticeable improvement in market sentiment. Investors were bracing for another CPI decline, which would have fueled negative sentiment and the notion that the market was heading...
Negative Sentiment Begins: Will Apple or the Presidential Debate Fuel It? (September 9 to September 13)
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 4 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by anticipation of new U.S. labor market data. Friday’s NFP results were not disastrous, but revisions, JOLTS, and ADP combined painted a slightly negative picture, confirming a...
NFP Data as a Key Factor: Could Reverse the Positive Market Sentiment (September 2 to September 6)
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 17 days Recap of the past week: The past week was defined by anticipation for Nvidia's earnings report. While the results were excellent, they fell short of igniting a more robust rally in the markets. As a result, trading remained within a...
RiskOn Sentiment Returns: Labor Market Focus & Key Risks – Can S&P 500 Hold Above 6000? (December 2 to December 6) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn Recap of the past week: The Thanksgiving week turned out to be as calm as expected. Early in the week, Donald Trump made headlines, giving us a glimpse of what to anticipate in 2025. He threatened Canada, Mexico, and China with additional tariffs, a move that markets naturally reacted to negatively. Another notable...
Quick market overview (June 10 to June 14) – state: Neutral
Market sentiment: Neutral 8 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by ECB rates and the US labor market. The ECB did not surprise and lowered rates by 0.25% as expected. The market was slightly surprised by the reduction in holdings of securities under...
Quick market overview (June 3 to June 7) – state: Neutral
Market sentiment: Neutral 2 days Recap of the past week: Last week, market participants were eagerly awaiting the release of the PCE index on Friday, that has a potential to shift market sentiment indicator. Thursday's quarterly PCE data suggested that a significant...
Outlook for May 31, 2024
We are approaching the key macro of the week - the month-on-month US PCE price index - an indicator that the Fed says is the main measure of inflation in the US economy. Market sentiment indicator state RiskOn from last week's run has moved into Neutral territory and...
Quick market overview (May 27 to May 31) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 27 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by a plethora of speeches from central bankers, the results from nVidia, and the FOMC meeting minutes - important market topic lately. The central bankers and FOMC leaned towards a...
Quick market overview (May 20 to May 24) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: Neutral - 1 days Recap of the past week: This past week was all about waiting for the new U.S. CPI numbers. Before we received the CPI data, the market first encountered new PPI figures, which were quite disappointing. However, Jerome Powell came to...
Outlook for May 15, 2024
Long awaited US CPI day is here and we brace ourselves for the time 14:30 CET / 8:30 AM EST. The market digested yesterday's rebounced PPI readings with ease and seems to be in good mood for today's figures, market sentiment indicator is still in slightly positive...
Quick market overview (May 13 to May 17) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 10 days Recap of the past week: The past week didn’t offer much excitement, yet despite low volatility, the S&P 500 managed a 2% gain, largely attributed to a buoyant RiskOn market sentiment. The main highlight was the weekly overview of...
Quick market overview (May 6 to May 10) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn 3 days Recap of the past week: Last week, the markets were poised in anticipation of the FOMC meeting and the subsequent press conference by Jerome Powell. Beyond the expected slow pace of quantitative tightening, no significant new...
Sentiment update for May 2, 2024
It has been about 22 days since the long RiskOn market sentiment break. The market has switched to negative RiskOff sentiment that has been lacking balls (weak negative sentiment) since it started. We can conclude that the market has been pretty much digesting further...