Market sentiment: RiskOn - 24 days Recap of the past week: The past week was primarily about waiting for Friday's data releases. We received the PCE index (slight decline as expected), the Michigan Sentiment Index, and the Chicago PMI. The SP500 index ended almost...
Market overview
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Quick market overview (June 24 to June 28) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 17 days Recap of the past week: The past week did not bring any major updates with almost empty macro calendar. Central banks provided their updates on interest rates. The only surprise was perhaps Bank of England's hawkish stance. With...
Quick market overview (June 17 to June 21) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 10 days Recap of the past week: The markets had been anticipating the update on the US CPI all the past week. In the end, it turned out very well, and we received very encouraging numbers. A considerable amount of euphoria hit the market....
Quick market overview (June 10 to June 14) – state: Neutral
Market sentiment: Neutral 8 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by ECB rates and the US labor market. The ECB did not surprise and lowered rates by 0.25% as expected. The market was slightly surprised by the reduction in holdings of securities under...
Quick market overview (June 3 to June 7) – state: Neutral
Market sentiment: Neutral 2 days Recap of the past week: Last week, market participants were eagerly awaiting the release of the PCE index on Friday, that has a potential to shift market sentiment indicator. Thursday's quarterly PCE data suggested that a significant...
Outlook for May 31, 2024
We are approaching the key macro of the week - the month-on-month US PCE price index - an indicator that the Fed says is the main measure of inflation in the US economy. Market sentiment indicator state RiskOn from last week's run has moved into Neutral territory and...
Quick market overview (May 27 to May 31) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 27 days Recap of the past week: The past week was marked by a plethora of speeches from central bankers, the results from nVidia, and the FOMC meeting minutes - important market topic lately. The central bankers and FOMC leaned towards a...
Quick market overview (May 20 to May 24) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: Neutral - 1 days Recap of the past week: This past week was all about waiting for the new U.S. CPI numbers. Before we received the CPI data, the market first encountered new PPI figures, which were quite disappointing. However, Jerome Powell came to...
Outlook for May 15, 2024
Long awaited US CPI day is here and we brace ourselves for the time 14:30 CET / 8:30 AM EST. The market digested yesterday's rebounced PPI readings with ease and seems to be in good mood for today's figures, market sentiment indicator is still in slightly positive...
Quick market overview (May 13 to May 17) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 10 days Recap of the past week: The past week didn’t offer much excitement, yet despite low volatility, the S&P 500 managed a 2% gain, largely attributed to a buoyant RiskOn market sentiment. The main highlight was the weekly overview of...
Quick market overview (May 6 to May 10) – state: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn 3 days Recap of the past week: Last week, the markets were poised in anticipation of the FOMC meeting and the subsequent press conference by Jerome Powell. Beyond the expected slow pace of quantitative tightening, no significant new...
Sentiment update for May 2, 2024
It has been about 22 days since the long RiskOn market sentiment break. The market has switched to negative RiskOff sentiment that has been lacking balls (weak negative sentiment) since it started. We can conclude that the market has been pretty much digesting further...
Event of the week: FOMC meeting
Today we'll be witnessing the long-awaited and highly anticipated FOMC meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell faces a precarious balancing act in managing dovish and hawkish pressures. As we say at moodix, he must "satisfy the dove with the hawk at his neck". If you follow...
Quick market overview (April 29 to May 3) – state: Neutral
Market sentiment: Neutral 1 day Recap of the past week: Recap of the past week: We've seen a week of BIG TECH results and the first estimate of US GDP Q1 with mixed market reactions. META "disappointed", while Google and Microsoft pleased. US GDP disappointed, but the...
📢 Outlook for April 25, 2024
The negative market sentiment RiskOff has been in place for 15 days. Even the market's attempts to break out of the first half of the week, when market reactions in the style of "goodnewsisbadnews" (US PMIs and other macro data) took care of the slight improvement,...
Sentiment development for the week of April 22 to April 26
As we look at the current developments in market sentiment, we all ask ourselves: Is the correction over? Today's PMI developments in the largest economies have given us a glimpse into the sentiments of purchasing managers. This view did not present a very pretty...
Quick market overview (April 22 to April 26) – state: RiskOff
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 11 days Recap of the past week: The ending week was full of geopolitics, marked mainly with the anticipation of Israel's retaliation for last Sunday's massive attack. That came on Thursday and was more of a demonstration of how deeply into...
Quick market overview (April 15 to April 19) – state: RiskOff
Market sentiment: RiskOff - 3 days Recap of the past week: The past and very important week brought quite a big disappointment from the US CPI numbers. Unfortunately, inflation continued its upward trend, increasing by 0.1% MoM and YoY to 3.5% from 3.2%. The data was...
Quick Market Overview (April 8 To April 12) – State: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn 42 days Recap of the past week: We´ve seen a week marked by crucial US labor market data and comments from Federal Reserve bankers. The labor market once again surprised with its strength, raising new questions about how the Fed will react to...
Quick Market Overview (April 1 To April 5) – State: RiskOn
Market sentiment: RiskOn - 35 days Recap of the past week: As expected, the Easter week did not bring major changes to the market. It is worth mentioning the next US GDP recalculation, which brought another improvement and we can already look forward to the first...